Articles
CIO Letter Articles
Why so few Investment Funds make the MoneyOwl Cut
Investment funds were not created equal, so how does MoneyOwl decide which works for you?
The Tech Sell-Off and the Korean Boy Band IPO
Was last week the time of reckoning for the stock markets? For those who worry that investors have been irrationally exuberant, two pieces of news over the past week might make them seem right. The first is the market sell-off in technology stocks towards the end of...
Build An Ark, Don’t Predict The Rain
My son is named Noah, after the biblical prophet who built an ark out of faith. One of Warren Buffett’s lesser-known quotes is based on Noah’s story: “Predicting the rain doesn’t count; building arks does.” Buffett was giving advice about running businesses, but the...
Economic Results are bad and would probably get worse. Should I still invest?
The longest global expansion on record has officially ended this quarter. US GDP shrank 4.8% in Q1 while two of Europe’s largest powers, France and Spain also saw their economies contract 5.8% and 5.2% respectively. With most economies seeing their worst contraction...
What Is Different And What Is Not? Use Both History And Logic. | CIO Letter
Yesterday was the worst one-day in the US stock markets since 1987. To have an index almost 10% down in a single day is a very rare event. How do we think about rare events then, in relation to our investments? The first popular framework of thought is to look at...
Let Your Financial Plan And Adviser Anchor Your Confidence Even When Markets Are Fearful
The COVID-19 situation has riled people and businesses, and it seems that yesterday, global stock markets finally showed its fears, with the growing spread of the virus across countries, increased deaths and large clusters in Europe, and fears in the US. The US...
We have no 2020 outlook
A very happy new year! At this time of the year, fund managers like to do a review of markets in the past year and a forecast or outlook for the coming year. Occasionally, a few would compare – usually when they are right – the market in review versus their initial...
12th November CIO Letter
Dear Client, From CEO/CIO: Happiness on 28th October, SRS tax savings and other musings Does what happen in the stock market every day make you happy or sad? If so, every year, you should be happiest on the 28th of October. Because 28th October is historically the...
11th October CIO Letter
Dear Client, FROM CEO/CIO: WHERE CAN I FIND ALPHA? Where I went to university, my essay grades were given in letters of the Greek alphabet: alpha (α), beta (β) and gamma (γ) and combinations of them – including esoteric ones like beta-alpha-minus-question mark-minus...
